Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 00:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 49 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 6:39PM CDT until March 15 at 7:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
An estimated 24,196 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- June 1, 2026 · score 40 · 11.9 km
- June 18, 2026 · score 34 · 14.4 km
- June 29, 2026 · score 34 · 15.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 76 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 76% |
| Coordinates | 35.1149, -91.3614 |
| Nearest City | Searcy (38 km) |
| Population Exposed | 24.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T23:39:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1bb61a731144239e4253bfd75b441bcb |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Jefferson, IL; Coles, IL; Cumberland, IL; Douglas, IL; Moultrie, IL; Piatt, IL; Shelby, IL; Franklin, IL; Jackson, IL; Jefferson, IL; Perry, IL; Williamson, IL and 24 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 6:39PM CDT until March 15 at 7:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T19:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Paducah KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 27 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1bb61a731144239e4253bfd75b441bcb21a520d1.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.af1eca13caf378503ff449ae0c15f968d305daf8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6cfdf981bd3620b0a704b0558a99e7e599e15a05.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f8f733941b376fed9798c0926ffbdcae0a2a15e4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3cec5871f13bb393bc3395541b4fe830f224ed56.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8c9c51fb380bc8d633fef738af9c153d9d23f3e3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f9d5b8d35e8fcd8bddb96c12d15f0def6b37e16b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e83aa19f29b409f50eca8e345622b00a113bf823.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.aa20c043128a4d4898cd6a92db7431bc6b32dcbf.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e528801b8c1b1cd5b4c9cab0f4723866478b3fea.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a35aa051ae21de6bb891b5d69bf2256cbf700d26.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.06699ee661182c7c71671fa3b760dbba31a09da8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.22289e33ac59cd242b9fa0e7280d3a7b4dc7cc4e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.71e383a2ffb5bc4dc6777b39365f9a4f08b6df15.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5e2a7b10003a23e78cad352a0c8951d4cb4aa625.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e814193a4a444cf5d8711f8314b59822e0725eac.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fe822e1771e4041fda044b740395f1d26f5d625e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e4f0eb1d35aff7b1afc6aa50ef427d4ac0b41732.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e4d52c152226ea89c5e7d890558d3f9af9cbf700.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6afd792cf04e2fb4227c368802a45a6725a88ab5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.70d04f50843c0227c6dcf6bf47ec92f3d5e988c1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dc274aa203863799897cdd2c706ad6ad646a78e9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2012318eded0a8afb23a8cffe5f422e656a37ed4.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a6da9c05187d465e3b53cebf9549cef12a854104.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.53a275db94da6b7ea4c73b2ec65b74793fc7b17a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.691c31012aead365850bd6180955c2d6b22e634e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.40187161754ddd4a09e695e5aaf5eab2c3925dac.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.